Polymarket market · Sports

China Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik

Resolved: Francisco Cerundolo won · See it on Polymarket ↗

14 whales put $97K into this market since Oct 3, 75% of their buying on Jakub Mensik. Francisco Cerundolo won. Of the 12 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$23K and 6 lost −$61K: −$38K between them.

The whales on this market

14 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Euphoric-Alteration
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jakub Mensik @ 64¢ $22K — −$22K
Snappy-Basketball
246 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jakub Mensik @ 39¢ $17K — −$17K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jakub Mensik @ 38¢ $15K — −$6.3K
Snoopy-Feature
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jakub Mensik @ 65¢ $13K — −$13K
Luminous-Collision
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jakub Mensik @ 65¢ $3.3K $2.9K —
Glaring-Salt
1,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Francisco Cerundolo @ 35¢ $5.6K — +$10K
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
Jakub Mensik @ 35¢ $4.6K — −$1.0K
Quixotic-Brow
96 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Francisco Cerundolo @ 43¢ $2.8K — +$3.7K
Cuddly-Misfit-Prayer
9 settled bets Too few bets
Francisco Cerundolo @ 39¢ $2.3K — +$3.6K
Jolly-Grove
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.3K —
Jealous-Shirt
9 settled bets Too few bets
Francisco Cerundolo @ 96¢ $1.9K — +$80
0x249e…dca1
7 settled bets Too few bets
Francisco Cerundolo @ 36¢ $1.8K — +$3.2K
Barren-Capital-Oxford
6 settled bets Too few bets
Jakub Mensik @ 65¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Tinted-Text
159 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Francisco Cerundolo @ 34¢ $1.0K — +$2.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Jakub Mensik lost
    $69K
    75% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $2.9K sold
  2. Francisco Cerundolo won
    $23K
    26% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $2.3K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 3, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed