Polymarket market · Sports

China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff

Resolved: Daniil Medvedev won · See it on Polymarket ↗

7 whales put $61K into this market since Oct 3, 98% of their buying on Daniil Medvedev. Daniil Medvedev won. Of the 6 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$5.8K and 1 lost −$1.3K: +$4.5K between them.

The whales on this market

7 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Ironclad-Instructor
85 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Daniil Medvedev @ 86¢ $29K — +$4.7K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Daniil Medvedev @ 98¢ $15K — +$263
Forked-Pricing
136 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Daniil Medvedev @ 98¢ $10K — +$164
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,072 settled bets Beat the odds*
Daniil Medvedev @ 85¢ $2.6K — +$465
Powerless-Savannah
2,455 settled bets Beat the odds*
Daniil Medvedev @ 93¢ $2.1K — +$154
Grateful-Chest
226 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jan-Lennard Struff @ 15¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Slow-Violation
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Daniil Medvedev won
    $59K
    98% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $1.0K sold
  2. Jan-Lennard Struff lost
    $1.3K
    2% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 3, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Jiri Lehecka $78K 14 Won: Jiri Lehecka
China Open: Iva Jovic vs Harriet Dart $56K 13 Won: Iva Jovic
China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa $168K 26 Won: Xinran Sun
China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Anna Kalinskaya $92K 20 Won: Qinwen Zheng
China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez $198K 20 Won: Kamilla Rakhimova
China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Kimberly Birrell $61K 9 Won: Marie Bouzkova
China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang $97K 15 Won: Sonay Kartal
China Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik $97K 14 Won: Francisco Cerundolo
About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed