Red-Constitution
0x638dc9ee7760a35c304afaec7acb2bb7600c3d87
Red-Constitution: −$1.0K on 40 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 65% (95% range 50%–78%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$1.0K
return −2.6%
Settled bets
40
$40K staked
Won
65.0%
95% range 50%–78%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 20 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$232
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$1.5K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$655
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Eintracht Braunschweig
@ 96¢
Spread: Holstein Kiel (-1.5) |
Spread: Holstein Kiel (-1.5) | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Elise Mertens
@ 99.9¢
China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek |
China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Elise Mertens
@ 95¢
China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek |
China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Hubert Hurkacz
@ 95¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Tasmania JackJumpers
@ 99.9¢
Illawarra Hawks vs. Tasmania JackJumpers |
Illawarra Hawks vs. Tasmania JackJumpers | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Tasmania JackJumpers
@ 99¢
Illawarra Hawks vs. Tasmania JackJumpers |
Illawarra Hawks vs. Tasmania JackJumpers | $1.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Seoul Thunders
@ 96¢
Seoul Thunders vs. Anyang |
Seoul Thunders vs. Anyang | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Sonic Boom
@ 96¢
Sonic Boom vs. Goyang |
Sonic Boom vs. Goyang | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.