Specific-Operating
0x81f6a8e628d5acadcce0f2913b5f173a49714488
Specific-Operating: +$293 on 46 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 30% (95% range 19%–45%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$293
return +0.5%
Settled bets
46
$61K staked
Won
30.4%
95% range 19%–45%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 19 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$1.8K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$4.0K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$2.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | SELL Over
@ 99¢
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 |
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 | $1.2K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Under
@ 99.9¢
Finland vs. Albania: O/U 3.5 |
Finland vs. Albania: O/U 3.5 | $1.3K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Vitaliy Sachko
@ 86¢
Bari: Vitaliy Sachko vs Samuele Pieri |
Bari: Vitaliy Sachko vs Samuele Pieri | $4.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Xinran Sun
@ 68¢
China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa |
China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa | $3.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Qinwen Zheng
@ 62¢
China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Anna Kalinskaya |
China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Anna Kalinskaya | $1.9K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Matteo Berrettini
@ 57¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Matteo Berrettini vs Adolfo Vallejo |
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Matteo Berrettini vs Adolfo Vallejo | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Andrey Rublev
@ 99.9¢
China Open: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin |
China Open: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin | $3.7K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Andrey Rublev
@ 84¢
China Open: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin |
China Open: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin | $3.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.