0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029
0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029
0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029: +$8.3K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 25%–75%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$8.3K
return +12.4%
Settled bets
12
$67K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 25%–75%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$89
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$8.3K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$20
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2 | BUY No
@ 82¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | $6.2K |
| Oct 2 | BUY No
@ 17¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | $3.0K |
| Sep 25 | BUY No
@ 87¢
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? |
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? | $1.4K |
| Sep 25 | BUY No
@ 89¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | $3.1K |
| Sep 25 | SELL No
@ 99.6¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | $5.0K |
| Sep 24 | SELL No
@ 85¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027? |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027? | $1.3K |
| Sep 24 | BUY No
@ 87¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027? |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027? | $1.3K |
| Sep 23 | SELL No
@ 85¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | $6.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.