Evil-Pigsty
0xdac7d70f156719d4ecc806844876880a558dd26a
Evil-Pigsty: −$34K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$34K
return −36.2%
Settled bets
3
$95K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 21%–94%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$41K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$6.7K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16 | BUY Yes
@ 88¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $49K |
| Aug 21 | BUY Spirit
@ 63¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | $1.9K |
| Aug 21 | BUY Spirit
@ 75¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | $1.5K |
| Aug 20 | BUY Yes
@ 72¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | $1.0K |
| Aug 20 | BUY Yes
@ 72¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | $5.8K |
| Aug 20 | BUY Yes
@ 72¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | $29K |
| Aug 20 | BUY Yes
@ 72¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | $7.2K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.