Powerful-Embarrassment-Stand

0x88f306921bf464f440ad3d18a440d4f40a6ee7fb

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Powerful-Embarrassment-Stand: +$12K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$12K
return +12.4%
Settled bets
1
$99K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 21%–100%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$12K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 SELL No @ 90¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? $29K
Oct 5 BUY Yes @ 85¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $8.5K
Sep 16 BUY Yes @ 89¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? $99K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed