0x22e4…ef1c
0x22e4248bdb066f65c9f11cd66cdd3719a28eef1c
0x22e4…ef1c: +$15K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$15K
return +20.6%
Settled bets
4
$75K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 30%–95%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$3.0K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$12K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 4¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | $2.6K |
| Sep 15 | BUY No
@ 86¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | $30K |
| Sep 11 | BUY Yes
@ 81¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $32K |
| Sep 11 | BUY Yes
@ 81¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $32K |
| Sep 8 | BUY Yes
@ 83¢
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? |
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? | $2.9K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Yes
@ 46¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? |
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | $1.5K |
| Aug 31 | BUY Yes
@ 73¢
Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? |
Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? | $4.5K |
| Aug 23 | BUY No
@ 64¢
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | $2.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.