Bulky-Antler

0x74471a007ddcc488f6d57b5e86dfb35a8d48a16d

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Bulky-Antler: +$7.2K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 22%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$7.2K
return +22.6%
Settled bets
8
$32K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 22%–79%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$9.8K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$3.6K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$6.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 8 BUY Yes @ 0.2¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? $1.5K
Oct 8 SELL Yes @ 16¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? $11K
Oct 7 BUY Yes @ 10¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? $1.6K
Oct 3 SELL Yes @ 29¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House $3.5K
Oct 3 BUY Yes @ 33¢
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? $19K
Oct 1 BUY Yes @ 15¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? $26K
Oct 1 BUY Yes @ 36¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? $7.2K
Oct 1 BUY Yes @ 35¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? $53K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed