Polymarket market · Politics & macro

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

5 whales put $61K into this market since Sep 3, 100% of their buying on No. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

5 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
0x034c…d9c0
no settled record
No @ 99.5¢ $11K $11K
0xaba6…0cd9
6 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99.5¢ $9.6K $11K
0x6b23…5a43
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99.5¢ $7.5K $7.5K
0x743d…41ad
no settled record
sold only $0 $2.7K
0x133b…2f22
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.3K

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $28K
    100% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $32K sold
  2. Yes
    $0
    0% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $1.3K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 3 to Oct 9, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed