Smoggy-Bribery
0xb7ef580a13f0463561170074bece5fb7bbd3812c
Smoggy-Bribery: +$4.0K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 71% (95% range 36%–92%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$4.0K
return +64.4%
Settled bets
7
$6.3K staked
Won
71.4%
95% range 36%–92%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$4.0K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$18
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | BUY No
@ 99.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September? |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September? | $1.4K |
| Sep 24 | BUY No
@ 99.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? | $1.7K |
| Sep 18 | SELL No
@ 99.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? | $2.3K |
| Sep 16 | BUY No
@ 99.7¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | $4.5K |
| Sep 16 | BUY No
@ 48¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | $2.2K |
| Sep 16 | BUY No
@ 99.7¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | $5.0K |
| Sep 16 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | $1.5K |
| Sep 15 | BUY No
@ 98¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.