Upset-Suede

0x94379d1db8799dad247a11edc34ff19c09cae75f

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Upset-Suede: −$508 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$508
return —
Settled bets
2
$0 staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–66%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$508
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 29 SELL No @ 99.9¢
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? $1.9K
Sep 21 SELL No @ 67¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? $1.0K
Sep 16 BUY No @ 92¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? $1.2K
Aug 20 BUY No @ 89¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? $1.8K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed