Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗
67 whales put $453K into this market since Aug 20, 98% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 36 whales whose whole position we captured, 31 made +$6.2K and 5 lost −$5.5K: +$676 between them.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 67| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inferior-Plough-Acrylic
8 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 98¢ | $35K | $2.4K | +$834 |
| Composed-Modem
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99¢ | $14K | $20K | — |
| Powerful-Election
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 98¢ | $26K | $7.0K | +$590 |
| Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist
64 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.49¢ | $30K | — | +$155 |
| Determined-Tomato
10 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 96¢ | $28K | — | +$1.1K |
| Optimal-Pecan
4 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 97¢ | $24K | — | +$697 |
| Trusty-Scooter
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 98¢ | $20K | — | +$325 |
| Wooden-Prescription
7 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 97¢ | $19K | — | +$561 |
| Plush-Tutu
6 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.4¢ | $13K | — | +$78 |
| Empty-Ball
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 98¢ | $10K | — | +$206 |
| 0x333e…369b
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 98¢ | $9.8K | — | +$250 |
| Grown-Entertainment
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $8.8K | — |
| Lone-Glutamate
4 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 97¢ | $8.4K | — | +$303 |
| Miserable-Boon
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 97¢ | $3.9K | $3.9K | −$5 |
| Limp-Collateral
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $7.8K | — |
| Monumental-Subgroup
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $7.8K | — |
| Showy-Ottoman
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $6.3K | — |
| Dull-Universe
6 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 98¢ | $3.9K | $2.4K | +$57 |
| Zesty-Disappointment
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $6.1K | — |
| Quizzical-Discussion
8 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.7¢ | $6.0K | — | +$18 |
| Muddy-Nose
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 98¢ | $6.0K | — | +$116 |
| Velvety-Burn
111 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 98¢ | $6.0K | — | +$132 |
| Grown-Fence
28 settled bets Worse than the odds |
No @ 99¢ | $5.9K | — | −$1.1K |
| Sick-Regulator
4 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $5.6K | — |
| Growing-Eating
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $5.4K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
No won$305K98% of whale buying · 35 buyers · $140K sold
-
No lost$4.1K1% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $3.3K sold
-
Yes lost$1.5K1% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Oct 5, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1791710133).