Plush-Tutu

0x24ded84d901a743cfee095f8082b0f9f647183cb

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Plush-Tutu: −$1.6K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 30%–90%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.6K
return −7.9%
Settled bets
6
$20K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 30%–90%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$16
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$1.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 3 BUY JD Gaming @ 85¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage $1.7K
Oct 1 BUY No @ 99.8¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? $1.7K
Sep 24 BUY No @ 99.4¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $13K
Sep 22 BUY Yes @ 99.7¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? $1.2K
Sep 21 BUY Yes @ 99¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? $2.7K
Sep 21 SELL Yes @ 99.8¢
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? $5.0K
Sep 21 SELL Yes @ 99.8¢
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? $6.4K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed