Dull-Universe

0x1f0a343513aa6060488fabe96960e6d1e177f7aa

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Dull-Universe: −$1.1K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 19%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.1K
return −6.3%
Settled bets
6
$17K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 19%–81%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$91
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$1.2K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$25
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 BUY Yes @ 99.13¢
Will Justina Pula be the next President of Kosovo?
Will Justina Pula be the next President of Kosovo? $3.2K
Oct 6 BUY Yes @ 99¢
Will Justina Pula be the next President of Kosovo?
Will Justina Pula be the next President of Kosovo? $2.7K
Oct 6 BUY Yes @ 98¢
Will Justina Pula be the next President of Kosovo?
Will Justina Pula be the next President of Kosovo? $2.0K
Oct 3 SELL Yes @ 93¢
Will Renato Casagrande win the most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?
Will Renato Casagrande win the most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election? $1.1K
Sep 22 BUY Yes @ 98¢
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? $4.5K
Sep 21 BUY Yes @ 99¢
Will Alexander Shuvaev win the 2026 Belgorod Oblast gubernatorial elections?
Will Alexander Shuvaev win the 2026 Belgorod Oblast gubernatorial elections? $1.3K
Sep 19 SELL Yes @ 33¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? $2.0K
Sep 17 SELL No @ 79¢
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? $6.7K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed