Polymarket market · Other
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
23 whales traded $81K on this market since Oct 15, 84% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 4.6¢ more per share, with 86% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
23 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Serpentine-Maggot
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 95¢ | $9.2K | — |
| Unripe-Whisker
79 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 85¢ | $8.8K | — |
| All-Peasant-Drug
1,028 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Yes @ 96¢ | $8.1K | — |
| Grounded-Depression
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 53¢ | $6.2K | — |
| Humble-Pecan
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 94¢ | $6.0K | — |
| Attached-Pump
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 92¢ | $5.8K | — |
| Unlined-Clothes
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 83¢ | $5.5K | — |
| Moist-Dame
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $3.5K |
| Thin-Tiara
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 96¢ | $3.2K | — |
| Delicious-Hackwork
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 79¢ | $2.8K | — |
| 0x3fd0…0022
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 96¢ | $2.4K | — |
| Shocked-Surgeon
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.4K |
| Writhing-Round
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 93¢ | $2.2K | — |
| Determined-Valuable
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 81¢ | $2.0K | — |
| Damp-Accountant
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 93¢ | $1.9K | — |
| Gaseous-Visit-Duckling
8 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.9K |
| Jumbo-Sushi
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 92¢ | $1.8K | — |
| Trusty-Plaintiff
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 91¢ | $1.4K | — |
| Flippant-Speech
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 89¢ | $1.4K | — |
| Indelible-Try
62 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 37¢ | $1.2K | — |
| Fearless-Misnomer
38 settled bets Worse than the odds |
No @ 15¢ | $1.1K | — |
| Peppery-Capital
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 95¢ | $1.0K | — |
| Limp-Drawer
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 87¢ | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes$62K84% of whale buying · 18 buyers · $7.8K sold
-
No$12K16% of whale buying · 3 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 15 to Oct 22, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792652408).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | $82K | 21 | Open | |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $240K | 71 | Open | |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $68K | 17 | Open | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $119K | 35 | Open | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $77K | 19 | Open | |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $86K | 16 | Open | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | $2.58M | 125 | Open | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | $521K | 91 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?