Jumbo-Sushi
Skill vs luck
Jumbo-Sushi on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$3. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 22, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Jumbo-Sushi: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 22, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xf473afee736af5b70a6c98bbc45f81d366117b53. Data CC BY 4.0.
Jumbo-Sushi: −$3 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 6 – Oct 22
- −$3
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 | BUY Yes @ 92¢ | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? ↗ | $1.8K |
| Oct 16 | SELL No
@ 99.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? |
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | $1.6K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?