Polymarket market · Other

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Open as of the last weekly run · See it on Polymarket ↗

56 whales put $158K into this market since Aug 20, 88% of their buying on Yes. It hadn't resolved as of the last weekly run.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 56
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Alarming-South-Human
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 61¢ $6.1K $4.8K
Sour-Assertion
6 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 64¢ $8.5K —
0xdc76…7842
no settled record
sold only $0 $8.0K
Pastel-Method
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 56¢ $7.2K —
Buttery-Cobbler-Lilac
8 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 62¢ $1.3K $5.4K
Cute-Farmland
7 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $6.1K
Scientific-Trance
6 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $5.4K
Yellow-Ram
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 43¢ $5.2K —
0x3ed2…ff3d
no settled record
Yes @ 67¢ $5.0K —
Gracious-Orator
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 63¢ $2.4K $2.4K
Monstrous-Dew
325 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 56¢ $4.4K —
Frozen-Antler
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $4.4K
0xdbe6…2e7f
no settled record
sold only $0 $4.3K
Drab-Diploma
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 58¢ $3.8K —
Hospitable-Maestro
6 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 56¢ $3.4K —
0x99e9…826a
no settled record
Yes @ 56¢ $3.2K —
Unwilling-Township-Midline
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.0K
0x5c83…eceb
no settled record
Yes @ 44¢ $3.0K —
Quick-Witted-Stream
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 61¢ $2.7K —
0x1495…f626
no settled record
Yes @ 55¢ $2.5K —
Kosher-Refuse
275 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.5K
Firsthand-Curtain-Bet
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 45¢ $2.4K —
0x22a2…aff7
no settled record
Yes @ 54¢ $2.3K —
0x8ff6…8fe1
no settled record
Yes @ 62¢ $2.2K —
0x9936…2c48
no settled record
sold only $0 $2.2K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes
    $79K
    88% of whale buying · 29 buyers · $56K sold
  2. No
    $11K
    12% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $10K sold
  3. No
    $0
    0% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $1.6K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Oct 9, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed