Polymarket market · Other

Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

14 whales put $62K into this market since Aug 22, 85% of their buying on No. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

14 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist
64 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 95¢ $19K —
Alarming-South-Human
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $15K
Fickle-Game
4 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 95¢ $11K —
0xb1ce…ced2
no settled record
Yes @ 5¢ $3.0K —
Harsh-Macro
71 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99¢ $2.0K —
Mortified-Roast
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 96¢ $1.9K —
Ordinary-Confectionery
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.9K
Distant-Inhibitor
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 5¢ $1.5K —
Attentive-Crewman
7 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 94¢ $1.5K —
0x0f6e…f363
no settled record
Yes @ 8¢ $1.2K —
0xed58…9024
no settled record
Yes @ 8¢ $1.2K —
Grown-Fence
28 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 99¢ $1.2K —
Menacing-Blogger
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99¢ $1.2K —
Strong-Exit
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 96¢ $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $39K
    85% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $17K sold
  2. Yes
    $6.9K
    15% of whale buying · 4 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 22 to Oct 9, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed