Polymarket market · Other
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
17 whales traded $68K on this market since Aug 23, 95% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.2¢ more per share, with 92% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
17 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harsh-Macro
77 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 96¢ | $18K | — |
| 0xbeca…a1b7
no settled record |
No @ 90¢ | $12K | — |
| Webbed-Parking
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 95¢ | $6.1K | — |
| Alarming-South-Human
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $6.1K |
| Candid-Lighting
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 90¢ | $1.4K | $2.4K |
| Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist
65 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 98¢ | $3.6K | — |
| Strong-Exit
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 96¢ | $3.4K | — |
| Grown-Fence
30 settled bets Worse than the odds |
No @ 96¢ | $2.3K | — |
| Smug-Block
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.2K |
| Deserted-Bitter
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 96¢ | $1.9K | — |
| 0xa0d9…c66d
no settled record |
No @ 96¢ | $1.6K | — |
| Pastel-Method
11 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 11¢ | $1.4K | — |
| 0xdb21…ddb1
no settled record |
Yes @ 4¢ | $1.3K | — |
| 0x814d…b842
no settled record |
No @ 96¢ | $1.3K | — |
| Organic-Networking
34 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 96¢ | $1.2K | — |
| Menacing-Blogger
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 98¢ | $1.2K | — |
| Velvety-Burn
112 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 96¢ | $1.1K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
No$55K95% of whale buying · 13 buyers · $11K sold
-
Yes$2.7K5% of whale buying · 2 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 23 to Oct 22, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792652408).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $240K | 71 | Open | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $119K | 35 | Open | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $77K | 19 | Open | |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $86K | 16 | Open | |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | $82K | 21 | Open | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | $2.58M | 125 | Open | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | $521K | 91 | Open | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | $282K | 48 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?