Limp-Drawer

0xdf903ee52261f475ee5a02f9189acdb7cdba41f0

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Limp-Drawer: −$416 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$416
return —
Settled bets
2
$0 staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–66%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$204
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$212
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 SELL Yes @ 94¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? $2.0K
Oct 9 SELL Yes @ 94¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? $2.0K
Oct 9 SELL No @ 90¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? $2.7K
Oct 9 SELL No @ 80¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? $2.2K
Oct 7 SELL No @ 72¢
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? $1.4K
Oct 5 BUY No @ 88¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? $1.1K
Oct 3 BUY Yes @ 81¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? $1.0K
Sep 21 SELL No @ 95¢
Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?
Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? $4.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed