Polymarket market · Other
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
16 whales traded $53K on this market since Sep 8, 96% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.2¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
16 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mild-Contingency
5 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 97¢ | $18K | — |
| Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist
65 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 98¢ | $5.3K | — |
| Opulent-Right
56 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 96¢ | $4.3K | — |
| 0xe72b…3c9c
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 97¢ | $3.0K | — |
| Hateful-Generation
9 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 98¢ | $2.9K | — |
| Ajar-Sportsman
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.9K |
| Strong-Exit
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 96¢ | $2.2K | — |
| 0x9e80…f694
no settled record |
No @ 97¢ | $2.1K | — |
| Mortified-Roast
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 95¢ | $2.0K | — |
| Harsh-Macro
73 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 98¢ | $2.0K | — |
| 0x6452…30a1
no settled record |
No @ 98¢ | $2.0K | — |
| 0xcb01…7dfb
no settled record |
No @ 98¢ | $1.6K | — |
| Menacing-Blogger
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 98¢ | $1.2K | — |
| Lonely-Junket
6 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 96¢ | $1.1K | — |
| Hospitable-Maestro
6 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 95¢ | $1.0K | — |
| 0x44f9…95f5
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
No$47K96% of whale buying · 13 buyers · $2.9K sold
-
No$2.0K4% of whale buying · 1 buyer
-
Yes$00% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $1.0K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 8 to Oct 16, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792220425).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | $537K | 60 | Open | |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | $58K | 8 | Open | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $82K | 30 | Open | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | $361K | 54 | Open | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | $164K | 30 | Open | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | $442K | 51 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs | $54K | 15 | Won: NIP | |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | $51K | 8 | Open |