Delicious-Hackwork

0xd67ba35aef659c872377a5ac2becb7ada7f85780

Skill vs luck

Delicious-Hackwork on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$1.1K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 23, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Delicious-Hackwork: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xd67ba35aef659c872377a5ac2becb7ada7f85780. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Delicious-Hackwork: −$1.1K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.1K
return −100.0%
Settled bets
1
$1.1K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–79%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Oct 7 – Oct 23
−$1.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.5% (1,973 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 21 BUY Yes @ 79¢ US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? ↗ $2.8K
Oct 19 BUY No @ 31¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? $1.7K
Oct 14 BUY No @ 74¢
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31? $1.1K
Oct 7 SELL No @ 28¢ US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ $1.1K
Sep 24 SELL No @ 39¢ US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ $1.1K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792738826, computed 2026-10-23 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792738826 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed