Polymarket market · Other
US recession by end of 2026?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
17 whales traded $53K on this market since Sep 3, 100% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 2.0¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
17 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elementary-Cesspool
8 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 92¢ | $10K | — |
| Nice-Perennial
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 91¢ | $6.3K | $1.6K |
| Punctual-Sand
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 81¢ | $4.1K | $1.5K |
| Verifiable-Obstacle
34 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 78¢ | $3.0K | $1.2K |
| 0x6828…1056
no settled record |
No @ 89¢ | $3.4K | — |
| Natural-Vacation
16 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.3K |
| Foolish-Propane
4 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 92¢ | $2.2K | — |
| 0x4ed7…767e
no settled record |
No @ 94¢ | $2.0K | — |
| Admired-Role
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 93¢ | $1.9K | — |
| Small-Pompom
13 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 93¢ | $1.9K | — |
| Homely-Amenity
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.8K |
| 0x353c…2af5
no settled record |
No @ 92¢ | $1.8K | — |
| Admirable-Samurai
8 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 90¢ | $1.7K | — |
| Simple-Tradition
58 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 81¢ | $1.6K | — |
| Uniform-Botany
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 81¢ | $1.6K | — |
| Gullible-Grassland
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K |
| Crisp-Scarf
4 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K |
Where the whale money went
-
No$42K100% of whale buying · 13 buyers · $11K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 3 to Oct 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793516413).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | $53K | 8 | Open | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | $105K | 14 | Open | |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | $83K | 22 | Open | |
| Kent State vs. Sacramento State | $93K | 12 | Won: Sacramento State | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | $284K | 38 | Open | |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | $206K | 22 | Open | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | $100K | 19 | Open | |
| Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-30? | $96K | 5 | Won: Yes |