Uniform-Botany
Skill vs luck
Uniform-Botany on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–66%) · profit −$2.1K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 22, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Uniform-Botany: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 22, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xf0ed9e68e6cd3ee712260abeaec32de56a7d47d8. Data CC BY 4.0.
Uniform-Botany: −$2.1K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$2.1K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | SELL No
@ 85¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | $5.4K |
| Sep 19 | BUY No @ 86¢ | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? ↗ | $1.2K |
| Sep 18 | SELL Yes @ 8¢ | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? ↗ | $1.0K |
| Sep 16 | BUY No
@ 81¢
US recession by end of 2026? |
US recession by end of 2026? | $1.6K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Yes
@ 34¢
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | $3.1K |
| Aug 25 | SELL No @ 97¢ | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | $2.6K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?