Foolish-Propane
0xc84f7e76ec28ef20e7773b7b4926bfb7378be0c5
Foolish-Propane: −$3.8K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$3.8K
return −56.7%
Settled bets
2
$6.7K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$4.6K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$773
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | BUY Yes
@ 24¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | $2.5K |
| Sep 20 | BUY No
@ 92¢
US recession by end of 2026? |
US recession by end of 2026? | $2.2K |
| Sep 5 | SELL Yes
@ 79¢
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | $1.2K |
| Sep 4 | BUY Yes
@ 66¢
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | $2.1K |
| Aug 26 | BUY Yes
@ 83¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? |
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? | $4.6K |
| Aug 25 | BUY Yes
@ 12¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | $23K |
| Aug 25 | BUY Yes
@ 11¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | $4.9K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.