Polymarket market · Other

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?

Open as of the last weekly run · See it on Polymarket ↗

11 whales put $137K into this market since Oct 1, 62% of their buying on No. It hadn't resolved as of the last weekly run.

The whales on this market

11 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Yellow-Dress-Ballet
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 7¢ $44K —
Bleak-Full
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 88¢ $35K —
Altruistic-Gambling
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $18K
Peppery-Capital
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 92¢ $16K —
0x5e7b…8767
no settled record
No @ 91¢ $5.1K —
Overlooked-Guilty
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 95¢ $4.8K —
Frozen-Birdwatcher
79 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $4.6K
Natural-Vacation
9 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 90¢ $3.4K —
Simple-Tradition
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 88¢ $2.6K —
0x4679…7678
no settled record
No @ 91¢ $1.7K —
Cheerful-Ephemera
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 90¢ $1.3K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $70K
    62% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $23K sold
  2. Yes
    $44K
    39% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 1 to Oct 8, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed