Crisp-Scarf
0x2ed8f7a10686dbb0fb15f5c3335f30e0043793d4
Crisp-Scarf: +$374 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$374
return +11.9%
Settled bets
2
$3.1K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$374
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2 | BUY Yes
@ 85¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | $1.2K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Yes
@ 64¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | $1.0K |
| Sep 14 | SELL Yes
@ 94¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | $1.9K |
| Sep 11 | BUY Yes
@ 79¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $1.6K |
| Sep 11 | BUY Yes
@ 78¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $1.6K |
| Sep 7 | SELL Yes
@ 69¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | $1.1K |
| Sep 6 | SELL No
@ 93¢
US recession by end of 2026? |
US recession by end of 2026? | $1.2K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.