Small-Pompom
0x9d736920e486176e7df7a76fa218f1ebd853216b
Small-Pompom: −$4.0K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 22%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$4.0K
return −36.3%
Settled bets
8
$11K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 22%–79%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$1.6K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$102
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$2.3K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | SELL No
@ 99¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | $3.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 93¢
US recession by end of 2026? |
US recession by end of 2026? | $1.9K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 94¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | $4.0K |
| Sep 30 | SELL No
@ 97¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | $17K |
| Sep 24 | BUY No
@ 86¢
Iran leadership change by December 31? |
Iran leadership change by December 31? | $1.7K |
| Sep 21 | BUY Yes
@ 95¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? |
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | $1.0K |
| Sep 21 | BUY No
@ 95¢
Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? |
Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? | $2.3K |
| Sep 11 | SELL Yes
@ 84¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.