Punctual-Sand

0x21d0c129deb8a7f7e1569045200d20e23862ce91

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Punctual-Sand: −$54 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$54
return −4.5%
Settled bets
2
$1.2K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 24
−$54
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 SELL No @ 96¢
Trump out as President before 2027?
Trump out as President before 2027? $7.2K
Oct 4 BUY No @ 93¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? $1.9K
Oct 1 BUY No @ 93¢
Will Elijah Arroyo finish as a top-12 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?
Will Elijah Arroyo finish as a top-12 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season? $1.2K
Sep 30 SELL No @ 96¢
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
Russia coup attempt in 2026? $3.6K
Sep 30 SELL No @ 96¢
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
Russia coup attempt in 2026? $1.9K
Sep 24 SELL Yes @ 63¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House $1.6K
Sep 18 BUY No @ 97¢
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
OpenAI IPO before 2027? $1.4K
Sep 17 SELL No @ 96¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Xi Jinping out before 2027? $6.7K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed