Polymarket market · Other
Will Wales win on 2026-10-01?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
21 whales put $224K into this market since Sep 30, 80% of their buying on No. Yes won. Of the 15 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$32K and 8 lost −$143K: −$111K between them.
The whales on this market
21 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds* |
No @ 29¢ | $96K | — | −$96K |
| 0x361b…74fe
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 88¢ | $27K | — | −$27K |
| Imperturbable-Benefit-Bartender
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 72¢ | $18K | — | +$7.3K |
| Far-Pocketwatch
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $15K | — |
| Scary-Edible
1,378 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 70¢ | $9.5K | — | −$1.6K |
| Cautious-Quince
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 88¢ | $5.0K | $3.1K | — |
| Bad-Documentation
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 80¢ | $8.0K | — | −$8.0K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 38¢ | $6.8K | — | −$6.8K |
| Complete-Boyfriend
15 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $6.8K | — |
| Critical-Monsoon
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $5.0K | — |
| Willing-Proposition
78 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Yes @ 23¢ | $5.0K | — | +$16K |
| New-Sickness
172 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 71¢ | $3.5K | — | +$1.4K |
| Soggy-Junket
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.2K | — |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 87¢ | $2.2K | — | +$5.9K |
| Smart-Fate
13 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 72¢ | $2.0K | — | +$758 |
| Sparse-Outset
327 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 92¢ | $1.6K | — | +$137 |
| Monstrous-Dew
371 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 88¢ | $1.4K | — | −$1.4K |
| Rotating-Snuggle
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 79¢ | $1.3K | — | +$342 |
| Honorable-Loincloth
7 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K | — |
| 0xfa5e…185e
8 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 88¢ | $1.2K | — | −$1.2K |
| Agitated-Bricklaying
493 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 88¢ | $1.2K | — | −$1.2K |
Where the whale money went
-
No lost$152K80% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $8.1K sold
-
Yes won$38K20% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $25K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 30 to Oct 1, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1791710133).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | $367K | 44 | Won: No | |
| Will Greece win on 2026-10-01? | $57K | 16 | Won: No | |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs | $157K | 21 | Won: Nemiga | |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | $2.01M | 32 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Germany win on 2026-10-01? | $227K | 19 | Won: Yes | |
| Germany vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5 | $56K | 9 | Won: Under | |
| Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs | $52K | 6 | Settled | |
| Will Israel win on 2026-10-01? | $54K | 6 | Won: No |