Honorable-Loincloth

0x98997f0621c3dd4699b0e4b2c3d9da5b80115d02

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Honorable-Loincloth: −$2.1K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 29% (95% range 8%–64%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$2.1K
return −44.1%
Settled bets
7
$4.7K staked
Won
28.6%
95% range 8%–64%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$2.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 3 BUY Under @ 92¢
CA Tucumán vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 4.5
CA Tucumán vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 4.5 $1.2K
Oct 2 BUY Yes @ 94¢
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-10-01?
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-10-01? $1.4K
Oct 1 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Wales win on 2026-10-01?
Will Wales win on 2026-10-01? $1.2K
Oct 1 BUY Under @ 95¢
Germany vs. Serbia: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Germany vs. Serbia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 $1.0K
Oct 1 SELL Under @ 99.9¢
HB Køge vs. Servette FC Chênois Féminin: O/U 6.5
HB Køge vs. Servette FC Chênois Féminin: O/U 6.5 $1.1K
Sep 30 BUY Yes @ 91¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-30?
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-30? $1.1K
Sep 24 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Malta win on 2026-09-24?
Will Malta win on 2026-09-24? $1.0K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed