Smart-Fate
0x389b6d0922a5342f07e5c91e9d962a38823f8d69
Smart-Fate: +$9.1K on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 69% (95% range 42%–87%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$9.1K
return +43.8%
Settled bets
13
$21K staked
Won
69.2%
95% range 42%–87%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$9.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | SELL Under
@ 99.9¢
France vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5 |
France vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | $4.4K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Yes
@ 54¢
Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05? |
Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05? | $1.0K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Under
@ 55¢
Portugal vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5 |
Portugal vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Oilers
@ 65¢
Kraken vs. Oilers |
Kraken vs. Oilers | $2.0K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Under
@ 99.9¢
Finland vs. Albania: O/U 3.5 |
Finland vs. Albania: O/U 3.5 | $1.4K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Belarus
@ 52¢
Spread: Belarus (-2.5) |
Spread: Belarus (-2.5) | $2.0K |
| Oct 2 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? |
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? | $7.8K |
| Oct 2 | BUY Under
@ 59¢
France vs. Italy: 1st Half O/U 1.5 |
France vs. Italy: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.