Polymarket market · Sports
UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)
Resolved: Alexander Volkanovski won · See it on Polymarket ↗
52 whales traded $479K on this market since Oct 19, 81% of their buying on Movsar Evloev. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.7¢ more per share, with 98% of the size there to buy. Alexander Volkanovski won, with 19% of the whale buying on it. Of the 39 whales whose whole position we captured, 14 made +$71K and 25 lost −$150K: −$79K between them. Biggest win: Spiffy-Revenue, +$23K on Alexander Volkanovski. Biggest loss: Unwieldy-Collagen, −$73K on Movsar Evloev.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 52| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boring-Musician
142 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Movsar Evloev @ 52¢ | $180K | $5.3K | — |
| Unwieldy-Collagen
133 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Movsar Evloev @ 52¢ | $73K | — | −$73K |
| Spiffy-Revenue
92 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alexander Volkanovski @ 50¢ | $23K | — | +$23K |
| Colorless-Spotlight
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Alexander Volkanovski @ 50¢ | $1.3K | $20K | — |
| Excellent-Stay
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Movsar Evloev @ 54¢ | $16K | — | −$16K |
| Substantial-Service
1,009 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Alexander Volkanovski @ 47¢ | $16K | — | +$18K |
| Grand-Entrepreneur-Advocate
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Movsar Evloev @ 51¢ | $16K | — | −$16K |
| Wide-Sprout
70 settled bets Beat the odds* |
sold only | $0 | $10K | — |
| Demanding-Chopsticks
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alexander Volkanovski @ 47¢ | $4.7K | $4.6K | −$100 |
| Pastel-Method
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Movsar Evloev @ 51¢ | $7.0K | — | −$7.0K |
| Foolish-Mezzanine
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alexander Volkanovski @ 50¢ | $5.1K | — | +$5.1K |
| Flowery-Apricot
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Movsar Evloev @ 52¢ | $5.0K | — | −$5.0K |
| Bite-Sized-Strawberry
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $5.0K | — |
| Attractive-Badge
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Alexander Volkanovski @ 51¢ | $4.8K | — | +$4.6K |
| Variable-Ski
107 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Movsar Evloev @ 52¢ | $2.5K | $1.6K | −$884 |
| Made-Up-Remnant
56 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alexander Volkanovski @ 47¢ | $1.3K | $2.8K | +$1.5K |
| Knowledgeable-Steel
89 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alexander Volkanovski @ 47¢ | $4.0K | — | +$4.5K |
| General-Secret-Rim
10 settled bets Too few bets |
Alexander Volkanovski @ 50¢ | $1.1K | $2.9K | — |
| Harmless-Region
259 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alexander Volkanovski @ 47¢ | $1.2K | $2.5K | — |
| Spiffy-Lobster
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Alexander Volkanovski @ 49¢ | $1.2K | $2.4K | +$1.2K |
| Loathsome-Decade
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Movsar Evloev @ 50¢ | $3.5K | — | −$3.5K |
| All-Peasant-Drug
1,099 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Movsar Evloev @ 53¢ | $3.3K | — | −$3.3K |
| Exemplary-Hundred-Pendant
63 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Movsar Evloev @ 51¢ | $3.3K | — | −$3.3K |
| Muffled-Shaker-Bolero
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Alexander Volkanovski @ 49¢ | $1.0K | $2.1K | +$1.1K |
| Adept-Bungalow
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Movsar Evloev @ 52¢ | $2.8K | — | −$2.8K |
Where the whale money went
-
Movsar Evloev lost$331K81% of whale buying · 25 buyers · $1.6K sold
-
Alexander Volkanovski won$76K19% of whale buying · 18 buyers · $70K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 19 to Oct 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792911646).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cali: Gustavo Heide vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | $111K | 12 | Won: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5) | $70K | 11 | Won: Nets | |
| Spread: Panthers (-7.5) | $51K | 7 | Open | |
| Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-10-24? | $126K | 10 | Won: Yes | |
| Kings vs. Devils | $64K | 3 | Won: Devils | |
| Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5) | $75K | 6 | Won: New England Revolution | |
| Philadelphia Union vs. New England Revolution: O/U 3.5 | $61K | 8 | Won: Under | |
| Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-10-24? | $120K | 7 | Won: No |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?