Flowery-Apricot
Skill vs luck
Flowery-Apricot on Polymarket: 5 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–43%) · profit −$32K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Flowery-Apricot: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x274c45994bfa0912cf8bee503190952e6af7da86. Data CC BY 4.0.
Flowery-Apricot: −$32K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–43%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 5 – Sep 22
- −$5.0K
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- −$27K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Movsar Evloev @ 52¢ | UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) ↗ | $5.0K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Merab Dvalishvili @ 42¢ | UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) ↗ | $6.5K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Ramazan Temirov @ 49¢ | UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card) ↗ | $15K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Club Atlético de Madrid
@ 46¢
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5) |
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5) | $2.5K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Ben Shelton @ 23¢ | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton ↗ | $2.5K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?