Polymarket market · Sports
Philadelphia Union vs. New England Revolution: O/U 3.5
Resolved: Under won · See it on Polymarket ↗
8 whales traded $61K on this market since Oct 24, 56% of their buying on Under. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 1.6¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Under won, with 56% of the whale buying on it. Of the 8 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$34K and 2 lost −$27K: +$7.1K between them. Biggest win: Open-Fingernail-Bullet, +$15K on Under. Biggest loss: Realistic-Chive-Tenet, −$24K on Over.
The whales on this market
8 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Realistic-Chive-Tenet
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Over @ 49¢ | $24K | — | −$24K |
| Open-Fingernail-Bullet
151 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 50¢ | $15K | — | +$15K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,922 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Under @ 50¢ | $8.3K | — | +$8.3K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,854 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 50¢ | $4.3K | — | +$4.3K |
| Valid-Underground
14 settled bets Too few bets |
Over @ 50¢ | $2.9K | — | −$2.9K |
| Creamy-Guest
137 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 50¢ | $2.9K | — | +$2.9K |
| Fake-Bitter
1,429 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 50¢ | $2.1K | — | +$2.1K |
| Yawning-Chicken
298 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Under @ 50¢ | $1.5K | — | +$1.5K |
Where the whale money went
-
Under won$34K56% of whale buying · 6 buyers
-
Over lost$27K44% of whale buying · 2 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792911646).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-10-24? | $120K | 7 | Won: No | |
| Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5) | $75K | 6 | Won: New England Revolution | |
| Fort Worth: Jenson Brooksby vs Gabriel Debru | $132K | 8 | Won: Jenson Brooksby | |
| UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) | $479K | 52 | Won: Alexander Volkanovski | |
| Cali: Gustavo Heide vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | $111K | 12 | Won: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5) | $70K | 11 | Won: Nets | |
| Spread: Panthers (-7.5) | $51K | 7 | Open | |
| Spread: Spurs (-14.5) | $130K | 10 | Won: Spurs |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?