Adept-Bungalow
Skill vs luck
Adept-Bungalow on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$2.8K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Adept-Bungalow: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x821f72f2f804e920add221f181dc641545225253. Data CC BY 4.0.
Adept-Bungalow: −$2.8K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- −$2.8K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Movsar Evloev @ 52¢ | UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Movsar Evloev @ 52¢ | UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) ↗ | $1.4K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?