Grand-Entrepreneur-Advocate
Skill vs luck
Grand-Entrepreneur-Advocate on Polymarket: 5 settled bets · won 60% (95% range 23%–88%) · profit −$13K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Grand-Entrepreneur-Advocate: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x4d32e23ab079511ab2de13d58211a99b23d39dfc. Data CC BY 4.0.
Grand-Entrepreneur-Advocate: −$13K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 23%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 5
- −$1.0K
- Sep 5 – Sep 22
- +$2.9K
- Sep 22 – Oct 8
- +$362
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- −$16K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Movsar Evloev @ 51¢ | UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) ↗ | $16K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 75¢
Will Denmark vs. Portugal end in a draw? |
Will Denmark vs. Portugal end in a draw? | $1.1K |
| Sep 13 | BUY No
@ 76¢
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? |
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? | $2.5K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Legacy @ 64¢ | Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) ↗ | $3.8K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?