Corny-Mincemeat

0x7e5246abed17a5cff43a17b55b30f982f45200f5

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Corny-Mincemeat: −$12K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–32%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$12K
return −217.6%
Settled bets
8
$5.4K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–32%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 3 – Sep 17
−$2.7K
Sep 17 – Oct 1
−$2.4K
Oct 1 – Oct 16
−$6.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.7% (2,012 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 14 SELL Yes @ 82¢ Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? ↗ $23K
Oct 14 SELL Over @ 99¢
AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5
AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5 $3.3K
Oct 11 BUY Yes @ 28¢
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-11?
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-11? $1.1K
Oct 3 SELL Yes @ 67¢
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-10-03?
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-10-03? $1.0K
Oct 1 BUY @ 5¢
Germany vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5 AND Republic of Ireland vs. Austria: O/U 3.5 AND Wales vs. Norway: O/U 3.5
Germany vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5 AND Republic of Ireland vs. Austria: O/U 3.5 AND Wales vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 $1.9K
Sep 26 BUY Over @ 16¢
Bulgaria vs. Luxembourg: O/U 3.5
Bulgaria vs. Luxembourg: O/U 3.5 $1.4K
Sep 18 BUY Yes @ 9¢ Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? ↗ $1.0K
Sep 12 BUY Over @ 24¢
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5 $1.9K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792134019, computed 2026-10-16 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792134019 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed