Quarrelsome-Slot
0xaa6fc72915776598fd7f6b45b04f03f9c26a1dfe
Quarrelsome-Slot: −$22K on 24 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 18%–53%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$22K
return −26.6%
Settled bets
24
$83K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 18%–53%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 16 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 3
- −$5.7K
- Sep 17 – Oct 1
- −$6.6K
- Oct 1 – Oct 16
- −$9.7K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.7%
(2,012 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15 | BUY Stade Rennais FC 1901
@ 44¢
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5) |
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5) | $3.0K |
| Oct 15 | BUY Bayer 04 Leverkusen
@ 48¢
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5) |
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5) | $5.0K |
| Oct 14 | SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-14? ↗ | $14K |
| Oct 14 | BUY No @ 52¢ | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? ↗ | $7.0K |
| Oct 14 | BUY Yes @ 34¢ | Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-14? ↗ | $5.0K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Beşiktaş JK
@ 43¢
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5) |
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5) | $7.0K |
| Oct 11 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
OGC Nice vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5 |
OGC Nice vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5 | $14K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Under
@ 48¢
OGC Nice vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5 |
OGC Nice vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5 | $7.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.