Unaware-Listing

0x02b4401ae7ead14477e944f79e9db07ce9ab7092

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Unaware-Listing: −$5.1K on 24 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 92% (95% range 74%–98%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$5.1K
return −4.7%
Settled bets
24
$108K staked
Won
91.7%
95% range 74%–98%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 24 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$84
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$3.6K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$1.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY Yes @ 99.86¢
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-10-10?
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-10-10? $2.6K
Oct 9 BUY Yes @ 99.5¢
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-10-10?
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-10-10? $1.6K
Oct 9 BUY Under @ 99.9¢
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 5.5
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 5.5 $1.1K
Oct 9 BUY Under @ 99.9¢
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 6.5
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 6.5 $6.3K
Oct 9 BUY Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-10-09?
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-10-09? $1.8K
Oct 7 BUY Yes @ 99.8¢
Will Chile win on 2026-10-05?
Will Chile win on 2026-10-05? $1.1K
Oct 7 BUY Under @ 99.9¢
Mexico vs. Chile: O/U 4.5
Mexico vs. Chile: O/U 4.5 $2.0K
Oct 7 BUY Under @ 99.9¢
Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 4.5
Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 4.5 $7.6K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed