Flimsy-Magic
0x47e468f50abff90200e5f04ad87183919ba60287
Flimsy-Magic: −$1.5K on 21 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 95% (95% range 77%–99%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$1.5K
return −1.6%
Settled bets
21
$96K staked
Won
95.2%
95% range 77%–99%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 21 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$1.6K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$40
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$98
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-10-09? |
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-10-09? | $1.1K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 99.6¢
Will Czechia win on 2026-10-03? |
Will Czechia win on 2026-10-03? | $1.3K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Yes
@ 99.7¢
Will England win on 2026-10-03? |
Will England win on 2026-10-03? | $10K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Yes
@ 99.7¢
Will England win on 2026-10-03? |
Will England win on 2026-10-03? | $10K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 99.3¢
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? |
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | $1.1K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 99.41¢
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? |
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | $1.6K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 99.5¢
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? |
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | $1.4K |
| Sep 28 | BUY No
@ 99.5¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28? |
Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28? | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.