Enlightened-Cop

0xa1035e02c546b5aa7c5b28937f1ef03660d21c14

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Enlightened-Cop: +$5.0K on 50 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 32% (95% range 21%–46%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$5.0K
return +3.6%
Settled bets
50
$136K staked
Won
32.0%
95% range 21%–46%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 33 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$14K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$17K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$1.7K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 BUY Team Spirit @ 52¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner $2.6K
Oct 9 BUY 1win @ 31¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner $1.5K
Oct 8 BUY Team Yandex @ 44¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner $1.3K
Oct 5 BUY Team Falcons @ 41¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $6.2K
Oct 4 BUY Astralis @ 53¢
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs $5.8K
Oct 4 BUY Team WE @ 49¢
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage $6.4K
Oct 3 SELL FURIA Esports @ 99.9¢
LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner
LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner $12K
Oct 3 BUY OG @ 54¢
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winner $5.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed