Scrawny-Windshield-Equation
0x3e591ae11c107331790396ab098f339561212a66
Scrawny-Windshield-Equation: +$1.6K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 71% (95% range 36%–92%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$1.6K
return +13.0%
Settled bets
7
$12K staked
Won
71.4%
95% range 36%–92%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$852
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$2.5K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | BUY Rams
@ 60¢
Rams vs. Eagles |
Rams vs. Eagles | $2.0K |
| Sep 28 | BUY Over
@ 58¢
Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 2.5 |
Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 2.5 | $1.5K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Detroit Tigers
@ 99.8¢
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers |
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers | $2.0K |
| Sep 3 | BUY BNK FEARX
@ 54¢
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner | $1.6K |
| Sep 2 | BUY Hanwha Life Esports
@ 56¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner | $1.7K |
| Aug 23 | BUY Spirit
@ 58¢
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | $1.7K |
| Aug 20 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 61¢
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs |
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs | $1.8K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.