Prestigious-Precedence

0x9e3ae3f398205723ae2fafbe7522a5de2edbe974

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Prestigious-Precedence: +$23K on 93 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 76% (95% range 67%–84%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$23K
return +5.9%
Settled bets
93
$388K staked
Won
76.3%
95% range 67%–84%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 70 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$20K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$4.9K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$2.4K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 5 BUY Yes @ 53¢
France vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score
France vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score $2.8K
Oct 5 BUY Yes @ 36¢
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? $1.3K
Oct 4 BUY Under @ 99¢
Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Granada CF: O/U 5.5
Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Granada CF: O/U 5.5 $2.1K
Oct 3 SELL Under @ 70¢
Albacete Balompié vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
Albacete Balompié vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5 $1.5K
Oct 3 BUY No @ 68¢
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-10-03?
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-10-03? $1.7K
Sep 27 BUY Under @ 65¢
SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5
SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5 $1.1K
Sep 20 SELL Yes @ 77¢
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-20?
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-20? $3.8K
Sep 20 SELL No @ 81¢
Will Valencia CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?
Will Valencia CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? $4.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed