Hurtful-Guarantee-Rhubarb
0x3d42e45cbf1c671733fbb8470924ec1bef165bf3
Hurtful-Guarantee-Rhubarb: −$10K on 18 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 16%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$10K
return −52.0%
Settled bets
18
$20K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 16%–56%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$7.4K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$2.7K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | SELL MOUZ
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $2.0K |
| Oct 1 | SELL TYLOO
@ 99.9¢
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) | $1.2K |
| Sep 26 | BUY EDward Gaming
@ 30¢
Valorant: LOUD vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B |
Valorant: LOUD vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B | $1.2K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Global Esports
@ 48¢
Valorant: Global Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B |
Valorant: Global Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B | $1.6K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Isabel Adrover Gallego
@ 70¢
W50 Yecla: Isabel Adrover Gallego vs Kateryna Lazarenko |
W50 Yecla: Isabel Adrover Gallego vs Kateryna Lazarenko | $1.0K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Isabel Adrover Gallego
@ 69¢
W50 Yecla: Isabel Adrover Gallego vs Kateryna Lazarenko |
W50 Yecla: Isabel Adrover Gallego vs Kateryna Lazarenko | $1.0K |
| Sep 23 | SELL Murphy Cassone
@ 55¢
St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur |
St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur | $2.1K |
| Sep 23 | SELL Clement Tabur
@ 44¢
St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur |
St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur | $1.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.