Violet-Intent
Skill vs luck
Violet-Intent on Polymarket: 5 settled bets · won 80% (95% range 38%–96%) · profit +$2.8K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 31, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Violet-Intent: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 31, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x9f108c6212b91ed2d69add55ac66b5182e14c8b5. Data CC BY 4.0.
Violet-Intent: +$2.8K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 80% (95% range 38%–96%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 16 – Oct 31
- +$2.8K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | BUY Panthers @ 50¢ | Spread: Packers (-3.5) ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 28 | BUY Jazz
@ 49¢
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) |
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) | $1.0K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Flames
@ 58¢
Spread: Wild (-1.5) |
Spread: Wild (-1.5) | $1.5K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Appalachian State
@ 54¢
Spread: James Madison (-13.5) |
Spread: James Madison (-13.5) | $1.0K |
| Oct 19 | BUY Flyers
@ 54¢
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) |
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) | $1.0K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.