0x2892…c2b7

0x289230c322724a1c0e7dc27b484f324a1b95c2b7

Skill vs luck

0x2892…c2b7 on Polymarket: 12 settled bets · won 58% (95% range 32%–81%) · profit +$2.4K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 3, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “0x2892…c2b7: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 3, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x289230c322724a1c0e7dc27b484f324a1b95c2b7. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

0x2892…c2b7: +$2.4K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 58% (95% range 32%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$2.4K
return +15.7%
Settled bets
12
$15K staked
Won
58.3%
95% range 32%–81%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Oct 19 – Nov 3
+$2.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made +0.2% (2,674 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Nov 2 BUY Over @ 55¢
Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5
Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5 $1.9K
Nov 2 BUY Alex Molcan @ 56¢ Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Titouan Droguet ↗ $1.1K
Nov 2 BUY Matteo Arnaldi @ 31¢ Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi ↗ $1.1K
Nov 2 BUY Kasidit Samrej @ 46¢
Taipei: Kasidit Samrej vs Omar Jasika
Taipei: Kasidit Samrej vs Omar Jasika $2.2K
Nov 2 SELL Over @ 99¢
Portland Timbers vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5
Portland Timbers vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5 $2.7K
Nov 2 BUY Over @ 43¢
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 38.5
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 38.5 $1.3K
Nov 2 SELL Over @ 56¢
Portland Timbers vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5
Portland Timbers vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5 $2.4K
Nov 2 BUY Over @ 50¢
Portland Timbers vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5
Portland Timbers vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5 $2.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1793689244, computed 2026-11-03 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793689244 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed