Whirlwind-Pie

0x7a8885c8dc075f0578b648f29fa233408a7d41cc

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Whirlwind-Pie: +$23K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 30%–90%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$23K
return +62.0%
Settled bets
6
$37K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 30%–90%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$23K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

In the live feed

BUY $15K
bought BYU @ 52¢ → lost (−$15K)

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 BUY BYU @ 52¢
Spread: BYU (-16.5)
Spread: BYU (-16.5) $15K
Oct 4 BUY San Diego Padres @ 84¢
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers $1.3K
Oct 4 BUY 49ers @ 62¢
Broncos vs. 49ers
Broncos vs. 49ers $17K
Oct 3 BUY Central Michigan @ 72¢
Akron vs. Central Michigan
Akron vs. Central Michigan $3.8K
Oct 3 BUY Georgia @ 49¢
Spread: Georgia (-26.5)
Spread: Georgia (-26.5) $2.4K
Oct 2 BUY Pittsburgh @ 47¢
Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech
Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech $9.4K
Sep 29 BUY Panthers @ 45¢
Panthers vs. Hurricanes
Panthers vs. Hurricanes $3.6K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed