Polymarket market · Sports

Grizzlies vs. Warriors

Resolved: Grizzlies won · See it on Polymarket ↗

33 whales traded $264K on this market since Oct 23, 52% of their buying on Warriors. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 4.8¢ less per share, with 98% of the size there to buy. Grizzlies won, with 40% of the whale buying on it. Of the 31 whales whose whole position we captured, 11 made +$111K and 20 lost −$134K: −$23K between them. Biggest win: Homely-Gosling, +$48K on Grizzlies. Biggest loss: Grown-Difference-Burnout, −$39K on Warriors.

In the live feed

$201K from 12 whales, last 24h
BUY $20K
bought Warriors @ 44¢ → lost (−$20K)
Substantial-Service · 964 settled bets · −$782K Beat the odds*
BUY $11K
bought Warriors @ 68¢ → lost (−$11K)
Scary-Fannypack · 203 settled bets · −$17K Beat the odds*
BUY $9.5K
bought Warriors @ 95¢ → lost (−$9.5K)
Wee-Globe · 9 settled bets · −$4.7K Too few bets
SELL $15K
sold Warriors @ 56¢ → lost
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing · 1,197 settled bets · −$433K Worse than the odds
BUY $14K
bought Warriors @ 50¢ → lost (−$14K)
Grown-Difference-Burnout · 297 settled bets · +$77K Beat the odds*
BUY $7.3K
bought Grizzlies @ 38¢ → won (+$12K)
Substantial-Service · 964 settled bets · −$782K Beat the odds*
BUY $7.7K
bought Grizzlies @ 48¢ → won (+$8.4K)
Shoddy-Harmonise · 109 settled bets · −$405K Can't tell from luck
BUY $9.3K
bought Grizzlies @ 44¢ → won (+$12K)
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing · 1,197 settled bets · −$433K Worse than the odds

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 33
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Grown-Difference-Burnout
297 settled bets Beat the odds*
Warriors @ 56¢ $39K — −$39K
Homely-Gosling
26 settled bets Beat the odds*
Grizzlies @ 39¢ $31K — +$48K
Substantial-Service
964 settled bets Beat the odds*
Warriors @ 44¢ $30K — −$8.8K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,197 settled bets Worse than the odds
Grizzlies @ 44¢ $9.3K $18K —
Teeming-Birdwatcher
6 settled bets Too few bets
Grizzlies @ 38¢ $15K — +$25K
Fixed-Rebellion
8 settled bets Too few bets
Warriors @ 60¢ $15K — −$15K
Scary-Fannypack
203 settled bets Beat the odds*
Warriors @ 68¢ $11K — −$11K
Likable-Workforce
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Warriors @ 61¢ $10K — −$10K
Far-Precipitation
100 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Warriors @ 60¢ $9.8K — −$9.8K
Wee-Globe
9 settled bets Too few bets
Warriors @ 95¢ $9.5K — −$9.5K
Shoddy-Harmonise
109 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Grizzlies @ 48¢ $7.7K — +$8.4K
Insubstantial-Organizing
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Grizzlies @ 43¢ $5.4K — +$7.1K
Corrupt-Poisoning
416 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Grizzlies @ 48¢ $4.8K — +$5.2K
Fake-Bitter
1,343 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Warriors @ 60¢ $4.8K — −$4.8K
Glaring-Salt
1,942 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Grizzlies @ 50¢ $4.7K — +$4.7K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,599 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Warriors @ 79¢ $4.6K — −$4.6K
Powerless-Savannah
2,776 settled bets Beat the odds*
Grizzlies @ 62¢ $4.0K — +$2.5K
Infantile-Squid-Periodical
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Warriors @ 60¢ $3.7K — −$3.7K
Some-Chaise
8 settled bets Too few bets
Warriors @ 59¢ $3.5K — −$3.5K
Outstanding-Jumper
4 settled bets Too few bets
Warriors @ 61¢ $3.0K — −$3.0K
0x6b25…7a69
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Grizzlies @ 38¢ $2.7K — +$4.4K
Clumsy-Meringue-Homonym
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Warriors @ 78¢ $2.1K — −$2.1K
Spotted-Piety
5 settled bets Too few bets
Warriors @ 61¢ $2.1K — −$2.1K
Near-Archer-Godfather
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Grizzlies @ 41¢ $2.0K — +$2.9K
Curly-Uplift
9 settled bets Too few bets
Warriors @ 82¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Warriors lost
    $127K
    52% of whale buying · 20 buyers · $15K sold
  2. Grizzlies won
    $99K
    40% of whale buying · 13 buyers · $4.2K sold
  3. Warriors lost
    $20K
    8% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 23 to Oct 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792825211).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Spread: Warriors (-4.5) $50K 12 Won: Grizzlies
Spread: Warriors (-1.5) $56K 7 Won: Grizzlies
Rockets vs. Spurs $199K 34 Won: Rockets
Trail Blazers vs. Kings $123K 20 Won: Trail Blazers
Pelicans vs. Jazz $182K 28 Won: Jazz
Clippers vs. Lakers $67K 11 Won: Lakers
Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5 $156K 5 Won: Over
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers $114K 14 Won: Milwaukee Brewers
About this data · run 1792825211, computed 2026-10-24 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792825211 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed